Padres@Brewers 9/27/07-9/30/07

[HollywoodLeo]

@

Game 1: Thursday, September 27th, 2007 5:05 pm PDT


Jack Cassel (1-1 4.00 ERA) vs Yovani Gallardo (9-4 3.59 ERA)

Game 2: Friday, September 28th, 2007 5:05 pm PDT


Greg Maddux (13-11 4.10 ERA) vs Chris Capuano (5-12 5.09 ERA)

Game 3: Saturday, September 29th, 2007 12:55 pm PDT


Chris Young (9-8 3.13 ERA) vs Dave Bush (12-10 5.16 ERA)

Game 4: Sunday, September 30th, 2007 11:05 am PDT


Brett Tomko (4-11 5.39 ERA) vs Jeff Suppan (11-12 4.57 ERA)

[HollywoodLeo]

Not making any predictions, the Padres have to win at least 3 if they want to make the playoffs....probably all 4.

Peavy might go game 4 if the season's on the line.

Both teams playing for the playoffs here.

[DirtyKash]

This is so sick. With 4 games left:

NL West is separated by 1 game.
NL East is separated by 1 game.
NL Central is separated by 2 games.
NL Wild Card is separated by 1 game between three teams.

And after Thursday, no one will have clinched either (no team with a magic number of 1.)

Suppose the Mets and Phillies finish tied with the same record in the NL East, AND the Phillies and Padres finish tied with the same record for the NL Wild Card, thefore the Mets and Phillies would have to play a 163rd game to decide the division (since the division takes precedence over the Wild Card). If the Phillies lose that game, the Padres are automatically in, since the Phillies would then be 0.5 games out.

And meanwhile, every team in the AL has been decided for months.

[DirtyKash]

Padres need to win 3 of 4 here since the Phillies and Mets both play lousy teams to end the season (Marlins and Nationals). Taking 3 of 4 would send the Brewers home for the season and the Cubs would get in. Arizona is playing Colorado so they'll probably split (hopefully).

[padrefanforever]

Originally Posted by HollywoodLeo Not making any predictions, the Padres have to win at least 3 if they want to make the playoffs....probably all 4. Peavy might go game 4 if the season's on the line. Both teams playing for the playoffs here.

Do you see now why I was saying it was mandatory that we sweep Pitt, and SF twice......? Us beating CO wasn't going to happen, and this series scares this shit outta me too........

l......w......w.......l
unless we score 6 runs in game 3
then l.....w..w..w

[JayDawg27]

I'm not even making a prediction, just hoping we do what we need to while all the other teams fall on their faces. I will take comfort in knowing we did sweep the Brewers earlier this year, so let's do it again.

That Rockies series really did hurt, had we taken 2-3 we would be in first place.

[DirtyKash]

NL could be in playoff tiebreakers until Thursday

By Jayson Stark
ESPN.com

If you think the National League standings are making you blind, it could easily get worse.


Try looking at the tie-breaker scenarios.

If five teams in the East and West finish the season with the same record, we predict business will be booming at all kinds of ophthalmologists' offices near you.

Among the fun possibilities if that happens: The Padres theoretically could play in Milwaukee on Sunday, in Arizona on Monday, in San Diego on Tuesday, in Philadelphia on Wednesday, back in San Diego on Thursday and then in New York on Friday.

But don't write any of that in ink. This is such a mess, MLB has declared Thursday "Emergency Coin Flip Day," because let's just say some of these matchups didn't look quite this likely a couple of weeks ago.

Ready for the most crazed scenarios? All right, here goes:

Five-way tie (Mets, Philllies, Diamondbacks, Padres, Rockies):

• The Mets and Phillies play a one-game playoff Monday in Philadelphia to decide the NL East.

• The Rockies, Diamondbacks and Padres would have a three-team playoff Monday and Tuesday to decide the NL West champ. (The Rockies, the team with the best three-way head-to-head record, would have the option of playing two games at home or one game on the road.)

• That would still leave three teams tied for the wild card. So those three then would kick off another three-team playoff for that spot Wednesday and Thursday. (If Colorado is involved, it's just about guaranteed to have the best head-to-head record and, again, the option to choose two home games or one road game. But if the Rockies win the West and three other teams are involved in the wild-card playoff, don't even ask. Too many different scenarios.)

• The survivor of those four days of madness would be the wild-card team and, if it's an NL West club, would start the playoffs in either New York or Philadelphia. If it's an NL East team, it would start the playoffs in the park of the NL West winner.)

Got all that? Great. Then let's go on.

Four-team craziness: If the two NL East teams and the top two NL West teams all tie:

Just for the sake of discussion, let's say the Mets, Phillies, Padres and Diamondbacks finish with the same record. Here's how that would work:

• The Mets and Phillies play a one-game playoff Monday in Philadelphia to decide the NL East.

• The Padres and Diamondbacks play a one-game playoff Monday in Arizona to decide the NL West.

• The losers then play Tuesday to decide the wild card. A Diamondbacks-Phillies game would be at a site to be decided by a coin flip Thursday. A Padres-Phillies game would be in San Diego. If the Mets are involved, no sites have been determined yet -- because the Mets were such an unlikely wild-card bet, MLB never held any coin flips for those possibilities, either. So they had a big afternoon of flipping scheduled, as well.

More four-team craziness: If the three NL West teams and the Phillies all have the same record:

• First, the Padres, Rockies and Diamondbacks would have to settle the NL West on Monday and Tuesday. Again, the Rockies have the best head-to-head record, so they would have the option of playing two home games or one road game.

• Then BOTH NL West runners-up would get thrown into another three-team wild-card playoff with the Phillies on Wednesday and Thursday.

Here is the team that would get the option of one road game or two home games:

• In an Arizona-Colorado-Philadelphia three-way: Diamondbacks.

• In an Arizona-San Diego-Philadelphia three-way: Diamondbacks.

• In a Colorado-San Diego-Philadelphia three-way: Rockies.

• If an NL West team survives all that, it would then play at the Mets on Friday to kick off the NLDS. If it's the Phillies, it would start the NLDS on Friday in the home of the NL West champ.

So that's the lay of this goofy land. Everybody have it all straight now? You'd better. There will be a quiz in the morning.



ONE-GAME PLAYOFFS
Potential tiebreaker matchups based on coin flips:

NL WILD CARD
Philadelphia at San Diego
San Diego at Colorado
Chicago at San Diego
Philadelphia at Colorado
Chicago at Philadelphia
Colorado at Chicago
Arizona at New York
Arizona at San Diego
Arizona at Colorado
Arizona at Philadelphia
San Diego at New York
New York at Colorado

NL EAST
NY Mets at Philadelphia

NL CENTRAL
Milwaukee at Chicago

NL WEST
San Diego at Arizona
Colorado at Arizona
Colorado at San Diego

[777rak]

I thought I heard 4SD saying the Padres were going to let Peavy pitch on Sun.


Comeone Brewers sweep the Padres, look at this is way if you sweep the Padres and the Cubs keep on falling you will/could win the division. So sweeping the Padres will help the D-Backs and you guys out.


Hope that post is ok Leo

[HollywoodLeo]

Arizona's playing Colorado

Could be good for San Diego one way or another.

[HollywoodLeo]

Chris Capuano pitching tomorrow instead of Sheets.

[DirtyKash]

Originally Posted by HollywoodLeo Chris Capuano pitching tomorrow instead of Sheets.

That's bad news because Sheets has been sucking. Easier to whoop up on him. Then again, Capuano sucks too.

[DirtyKash]

Padres are going to get the job done baby! 5-2 in the 7th and Pads have the bases loaded with no outs!

AND SUPERMAN SCOTT HAIRSTON IS AT THE PLATE!!